Bayesian Reliability
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Bayesian Reliability presents modern methods and techniques for analyzing reliability data from a Bayesian perspective. The adoption and application of Bayesian methods in virtually all branches of science and engineering have significantly increased over the past few decades. This increase is largely due to advances in simulation-based computational tools for implementing Bayesian methods. The authors extensively use such tools throughout this book, focusing on assessing the reliability of components and systems with particular attention to hierarchical models and models incorporating explanatory variables. Such models include failure time regression models, accelerated testing models, and degradation models. The authors pay special attention to Bayesian goodness-of-fit testing, model validation, reliability test design, and assurance test planning. Throughout the book, the authors use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for implementing Bayesian analyses—algorithms that make the Bayesian approach to reliability computationally feasible and conceptually straightforward.This book is primarily a reference collection of modern Bayesian methods in reliability for use by reliability practitioners. There are more than 70 illustrative examples, most of which utilize real-world data. This book can also be used as a textbook for a course in reliability and contains more than 160 exercises.Noteworthy highlights of the book include Bayesian approaches for the following:Goodness-of-fit and model selection methodsHierarchical models for reliability estimationFault tree analysis methodology that supports data acquisition at all levels in the treeBayesian networks in reliability analysisAnalysis of failure count and failure time data collected from repairable systems, and the assessment of various related performance criteriaAnalysis of nondestructive and destructive degradation dataOptimal design of reliability experimentsHierarchical reliability assurance testing
1 Reliability Concepts 12 Bayesian Inference 213 Advanced Bayesian Modeling and Computational Methods 514 Component Reliability 855 System Reliability 1256 Repairable System Reliability 1617 Regression Models in Reliability 2038 Using Degradation Data to Assess Reliability 2719 Planning for Reliability Data Collection 31910 Assurance Testing 343A Acronyms and Abbreviations 375B Special Functions and Probability Distributions 377References 413Author Index 427Subject Index 431
