Since 2002, commodities have outperformed every other asset class including stocks, mutual funds and real estate. If you’re itching to get in on the fun and profit, Commodities For Dummies is the resource you need to find out how to break into the commodities market and understand how to trade and prosper. You’ll discover: How commodities stack up against other investment vehicles How to identify, manage, and overcome risk The pros and cons of futures, equities, ETFs and mutual funds Specific techniques for analyzing and trading in commodities Powerful profits in energy—crude oil, natural gas, coal, nuclear, and alternatives What you need to know about trading in metals—precious and not-so-precious How to grow your portfolio with farm products Featuring time-tested rules for investment success, this comprehensive, user-friendly guide helps you minimize risk, maximize profit, and find the shortest route to Easy Street.
Introduction 1About This Book 1Conventions Used in This Book 3Foolish Assumptions 3How This Book Is Organized 4Commodities: Just the Facts 4Getting Started 5The Power House: How to Make Money in Energy 5Pedal to the Metal: Investing in Metals 5Going Down to the Farm: Trading Agricultural Products 5The Part of Tens 6The Appendix 6Icons Used in This Book 6Where to Go from Here 7Commodities: Just the Facts 9Investors, Start Your Engines! An Overview of Commodities 11First Things First 12Going for a Spin: Choosing the Right Investment Vehicle 14The futures markets 14The equity markets 16Managed funds 18Physical attractiveness 18Checking Out What's on the Menu 19Energy 19Metals 20Agricultural products 21Benefiting from Commodities Creatively 23Earn, Baby, Earn! Why You Should Invest in Commodities 25You Can't Argue with Success 26The 21st Century Is the Century of Commodities 28Ka-boom! Capitalizing on the global population explosion 29Brick by brick: Profiting from urbanization 30Full steam ahead! Benefiting from industrialization 32It's All about Me! Why Commodities Are Unique 34Inelasticity 34Is it safe in here? Commodities as a safe haven 36Hedge-hogging galore! Commodities as a hedge against inflation 36Could you hurry up, please! Bringing new sources online takes time 38Sell in May and go away? Definitely nay! 38Time to Get Down to Business: Commodities and the Business Cycle 39Is Investing in Commodities Only for the Brave? 41Biting Off More Than You Can Chew: The Pitfalls of Using Leverage 42Watch Your Step: Understanding the Real Risks behind Commodities 43Geopolitical risk 43Speculative risk 44Corporate governance risk 45Managing Risk 45Due diligence: Just do it 45Diversify, diversify, diversify 49Get Ready to Rumble! Commodity Bulls vs. Bears 51Seeing Both the Forest and the Trees 52Ride the Wave? Kondratieff and the Super Cycle Theory 58Keeping It Simple: Looking at the Laws of Supply and Demand 58Feel the Love: Welcoming Commodities into Your Portfolio 61The Color of Money: Taking Control of Your Financial Life 62Looking Ahead: Creating a Financial Road Map 63Figuring out your net worth 64Identifying your tax bracket 66Are you hungry? Determining your risk appetite 68Making Room in Your Portfolio for Commodities 69Fully Exposed: The Top Ways to Get Exposure to Commodities 70Looking towards the future with commodity futures 70Funding your account with commodity funds 73You're in good company: Investing in commodity companies 74Getting Started 77Show Me the Money! Choosing the Right Manager 79Mutually Beneficial: Investing in Commodity Mutual Funds 79Riddle me this, riddle me that: Asking the right questions 80Taking a look at what's out there 83Examining Exchange Traded Funds 84Mastering MLPs 85The ABCs of MLPs 86Cash flow is king 89The nuts and bolts of MLP investing 91Heads Up! Risk and MLPs 92Relying on a Commodity Trading Advisor 93Jumping into a Commodity Pool 95Track and Trade: Investing through Commodity Indexes 97Checking Out Commodity Indexes 98What's the use of an index? 98So how do I make money using an index? 99From Head to Toes: Anatomy of a Commodity Index 99Cataloguing the Indexes 101Goldman Sachs Commodity Index 101Reuters/Jefferies Commodity Research Bureau Index 104Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Index 106Rogers International Commodities Index 108Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index 111Which Index Should You Use? 113Understanding How Commodities Exchanges Work 115Why Do We Have Commodities Exchanges, Anyway? 116Identifying the Major Commodity Exchanges 117Ready, Set, Invest: Opening an Account and Placing Orders 120Choosing the right account 121Placing orders 123Tracking your order from start to finish 126Owning a Piece of an Exchange 129Back to the Future: Getting a Grip on Futures and Options 133The Future Looks Bright: How to Trade Futures Contracts 134The competition: Who trades futures? 136Contract specs: Keeping track of all the moving pieces 138For a Few Dollars Less: Trading Futures on Margin 142Taking a Pulse: Figuring Out Where the Futures Market Is Heading 143Contango: It takes two to tango 143Backwardation: One step forward, two steps back 144Keeping Your Options Open: Trading with Options 145Cutting to the chase: Options in action! 146Trader talk 147Options have character 148Technically Speaking: Using Technical Analysis 151Looking at Charts: A Picture Is Worth More Than a Thousand Words 152Line it up: Checking out line charts 153Going for bar charts 153Lighting up the chart with candlesticks 155Identifying Patterns: The Trend Is Your Friend 156Identifying support and resistance 156Trend lines: Ride the trend till the end 159Pump Up the Volume! 160Moving Averages: Anything But Average 162Keeping it simple with the SMA 162Taking it up a notch with the EMA 162It's All Relative: Using the RSI 164Breaking into Bollinger Bands 165The Power House: How to Make Money in Energy 167It's a Crude, Crude World! Investing in Crude Oil 169Crude Realities 170No need for a reservation: Examining global reserve estimates 171Staying busy and productive: Looking at production figures 173It can be demanding: Checking out demand figures 174Going in and out: Eyeing imports and exports 176Going Up the Crude Chain 178You want that light and sweet or heavy and sour? 179Make Big Bucks with Big Oil 182Oil companies: Lubricated and firing on all cylinders 182Get your passport ready: Investing overseas 185Welcome to Gas Vegas, Baby! Trading Natural Gas 189What's the Use? Looking at Natural Gas Applications 190Calling all captains of industry: Industrial uses of natural gas 192If you can't stand the heat, get out of the kitchen! Natural gas in your home 193Going commercial: Natural gas's commercial uses 194Truly electrifying! Generating electricity with natural gas 195Getting from here to there: Natural gas and transportation 196Liquefied Natural Gas: Getting Liquid without Getting Wet 196Investing in Natural Gas 197Natural selection: Trading Nat Gas futures 199Nat Gas companies: The natural choice 200Fuel for Thought: Looking at Alternative Energy Sources 201Out with the Old and in with the New? 201King Coal: Not as Scary as You Think 203Coal hard facts 203Paint it black 206It's a coal investment 207Investing in Nuclear Power: Going Nuclear without Going Ballistic 208You've Been Zapped! Trading Electricity 210Current affairs 210Power plays 211Always Brand Spanking New! Renewable Energy Sources 213Sunny delight: Solar energy 214Fast and furious: Wind energy 214Totally Energized: Investing in Energy Companies 217Bulls Eye! Profiting from Oil Exploration and Production 217Going offshore 218Staying on dry land 221Servicing the oilfields 221Oh My, You're So Refined! Investing in Refineries 223How to Become an Oil Shipping Magnate 226Swimming in oil: Transportation supply and demand 226Ships ahoy! 228Masters of the sea: Petroleum shipping companies 229Swimming with sharks: Avoiding industry risk 231Pedal to the Metal: Investing in Metals 233Getting the Glitters: Investing in Gold, Silver, and Platinum 235Going for the Gold 235The gold standard 236Good as gold 240Get the Tableware Ready: Investing in Silver 244Checking out the big picture on the silver screen 244A sliver of silver in your portfolio 246Bling Bling: Investing in Platinum 248Platinum facts and figures 249Going platinum 249Metals That Prove Their Mettle: Steel, Aluminum, and Copper 253Building a Portfolio That's As Strong As Steel 254Steely facts 254Investing in steel companies 255Aluminum: Everything Is Illuminated 257Just the aluminum facts 257Aluminum futures 258Aluminum companies 260A Visit to Dr. Copper 260Quick copper facts 260Copper futures contracts 262Copper companies 263Weighing Investments in Heavy and Not-So-Heavy Metals 265Palladium: Metal for the New Millennium 265Zinc and Grow Rich 269You Won't Get Nickel and Dimed by Investing in Nickel 270Mine Your Own Business: Unearthing the Top Mining Companies 273Diversified Mining Companies 274BHP Billiton 274Rio Tinto 275Anglo-American 276Specialized Mining Companies 278Newmont Mining-Gold 278Silver Wheaton-Silver 278Phelps Dodge-Copper 279Alcoa-Aluminum 280Arcelor-Mittal-Steel 281Going Down to the farm: Trading Agricultural Products 283Breakfast of Champions: Profiting from Coffee, Cocoa, Sugar, and Orange Juice 285Give Your Portfolio a Buzz by Investing in Coffee 285Coffee: It's time for your big break 286Brewing the right investment strategy 287Warming Up to Cocoa 289Invest in Sugar: It's Such a Sweet Move! 291Orange Juice: Refreshingly Good for Your Bottom Line 293How to Gain from Grains: Trading Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans 297Field of Dreams: How to Invest in Corn 298Welcome to the Bread Basket: Investing in Wheat 300Trading Soybeans: It's Not Just Peanuts 302Soybeans 303Soybean oil 304Soybean meal 305Alive and Kicking! How to Make Money Trading Livestock 307Holy Cow! How to Invest in Cattle 308Live cattle 309Feeder cattle 310Lean and Mean: Checking Out Lean Hogs 311You Want Bacon with That? How to Trade Frozen Pork Bellies 312The Part of Tens 315Top Ten Ways to Invest in Commodities 317Futures Commission Merchant 317Commodity Trading Advisor 318Commodity Pool Operator 318Integrated Commodity Companies 318Specialized Commodity Companies 318Master Limited Partnerships 319Exchange Traded Funds 319Commodity Mutual Funds 319Commodity Indexes 320Emerging Market Funds 320Top Ten Market Indicators You Should Monitor 321Consumer Price Index 321EIA Inventory Reports 322Federal Funds Rate 322Gross Domestic Product 322London Gold Fix 323Non-farm Payrolls 323Purchasing Managers Index 324Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index 324US Dollar 324WTI Crude Oil 324Ten or So Resources You Can't Do Without 327The Wall Street Journal 327Bloomberg 328Commodities-Investor.com 328Nightly Business Report 328Morningstar 329Yahoo! Finance 329Commodity Futures Trading Commission 329The Energy Information Administration 329Stocks and Commodities Magazine 330Oil & Gas Journal 330National Futures Association 330The Appendix 331Glossary of Technical Terms 333Index 343