Decision Making with Insight: With Insight.Xla 2.0

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Author: Sam Savage

ISBN-10: 0534386393

ISBN-13: 9780534386399

Category: Management - Professional & Reference

Dr. Sam Savage, who's recognized as a leading innovator in management science education, provides the most hands-on , practical introduction to methods of decision making. This book and accompanying suite of Excel add-ins for quantitative analysis covers Monte Carlo simulation, decision trees, queuing simulations, optimization, Markov chains, and forecasting. The Insight add-ins have been developed over several years by the author.

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This textbook introduces statistical techniques for building the analytical models that are needed to help make important business decisions. The CD-ROM contains the Insight.xla 2.0 suite, which has been enhanced with XLSim, XLTree, and XLForecast for the second edition. Annotation (c)2003 Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Fundamental ConceptsExercisesTutorialsRoad MapOverview of Decision Making with Insight and INSIGHT.xla 2.0Application Matrix1Analytical Modeling in Spreadsheets12The Building Blocks of Uncertainty: Random Variables193The Buildings of Uncertainty: Functions of Random Variables564Uncertainties That Evolve Over Time1115Forecasting1546Decision Trees1837Overview of Optimization2228Extensions of Optimization254App. AQueuing Equations: QUEUE.xla and QöNET.xla301App. BTwo-Parameter Exponential Smoothing for Estimating Trends305App. CSoftware Command Reference308References351Index353