Forecasting Terrorism: Indicators and Proven Analytic Techniques
Terrorist attacks happen after years of careful planning; however, these plans always leave a trail of activities—a road map to the terrorists' forthcoming actions. These indicators include terrorist travel, movement of weapons, training, target surveillance, and tests of security. This guidebook identifies 68 such indicators and shows how to analyze them using a step-by-step explanation. It also includes safeguards against 38 of the 42 common warning pitfalls that experts have identified....
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Terrorist attacks happen after years of careful planning; however, these plans always leave a trail of activities_a road map to the terrorists' forthcoming actions. This guide identifies 68 such indicators and shows how to analyze them using a step-by-step explanation. It also includes safeguards against 38 of the 42 common warning pitfalls that experts have identified.
1How to forecast terrorism : step-by-step explanation of the methodology52The acid test : evaluation of the methodology against the 42 common warning pitfalls613How to make it happen : recommendations for implementation91
\ Defense Intelligence JournalFor those interested in learning more about the intelligence-warning process, especially regarding terrorism, this book will be of particular interest....If her system is implemented, Khalsa predicts that her methodology will guard against up to 82 percent of the known common warning pitfalls, an impressive increase over the traditionally accepted 30-percent warning-accuracy rate....the United States will be in good hands as long as we have innovative thinkers like Sundri Khalsa.\ \ \ \ \ Studies In IntelligenceCaptain Kalsa has developed an interesting approach to forecasting acts of terror...\ \
