Plan B 3.0: Mobilizing to Save Civilization
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"How to build a more just world and save the planet....We should all heed Brown's advice."—Bill Clinton
Preface xiEntering a New World 3A Massive Market Failure 6Environment and Civilization 9China: Why the Existing Economic Model Will Fail 13Mounting Stresses, Failing States 14A Civilizational Tipping Point 18Plan B-A Plan of Hope 20A Civilization in TroubleDeteriorating Oil and Food Security 27The Coming Decline of Oil 29The Oil Intensity of Food 34The Changing Food Prospect 36Cars and People Compete for Crops 38The World Beyond Peak Oil 42Food Insecurity and Failing States 45Rising Temperatures and Rising Seas 48Rising Temperature and Its Effects 49The Crop Yield Effect 51Reservoirs in the Sky 53Melting Ice and Rising Seas 56More-Destructive Storms 61Cutting Carbon 80 Percent by 2020 64Emerging Water Shortages 68Water Tables Falling 69Rivers Running Dry 75Lakes Disappearing 77Farmers Losing to Cities 78ScarcityCrossing National Borders 81Water Scarcity Yields Political Stresses 82Natural Systems Under Stress 85Shrinking Forests: The Many Costs 86Losing Soil 90From Grassland to Desert 93Advancing Deserts 94Collapsing Fisheries 97Disappearing Plants and Animals 101Early Signs of Decline 106Our Socially Divided World 107Health Challenge Growing 110Throwaway Economy in Trouble 115Population and Resource Conflicts 117Environmental Refugees on the Rise 121Mounting Stresses, Failing States 123The Response-Plan BEradicating Poverty, Stabilizing Population 131Universal Basic Education 133Stabilizing Population 136Better Health for All 140Curbing the HIV Epidemic 144Reducing Farm Subsidies and Debt 146A Poverty Eradication Budget 149Restoring the Earth 152Protecting and Restoring Forests 153Conserving and Rebuilding Soils 158Regenerating Fisheries 162Protecting Plant and Animal Diversity 164Planting Trees to Sequester Carbon 165The Earth Restoration Budget 169Feeding Eight Billion Well 175Rethinking Land Productivity 176Raising Water Productivity 179Producing Protein More Efficiently 183Moving Down the Food Chain 188Action on Many Fronts 189Designing Cities for People 192The Ecology of Cities 194Redesigning Urban Transport 196Reducing Urban Water Use 202Farming in the City 205Upgrading Squatter Settlements 208Cities for People 209Raising Energy Efficiency 213Banning the Bulb 215Energy-Efficient Appliances 218More-Efficient Buildings 221Restructuring the Transport System 225A New Materials Economy 228The Energy Savings Potential 235Turning to Renewable Energy 237Harnessing the Wind 239Wind-Powered Plug-in Hybrid Cars 243Solar Cells and Collectors 246Energy from the Earth 252Plant-Based Sources of Energy 255River, Tidal, and Wave Power 258The World Energy Economy of 2020 259An Exciting New OptionThe Great Mobilization 265Shifting Taxes and Subsidies 267Summing Up Climate Stabilization Measures 273A Response to Failing States 276A Wartime Mobilization 279Mobilizing to Save Civilization 280What You and I Can Do 285Notes 289Index 373Acknowledgments 393About the Author 399
