Russia 2010: And What It Means for the World
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2010: Russia disintegrates as its frontier regions rebel or drift into the orbit of neighboring countries. 2010: Russia is invigorated by an economic chudo — "miracle" — that turns it into a thriving exemplar of the free market. 2010: Russia becomes a grim military dictatorship, bent on expansion.This brilliant and visionary book, which is based on a confidential report by the international consulting firm CERA, offers several persuasively detailed scenarios of Russia's future. Using the management technique of "scenario planning" and drawing on an extensive knowledge of Russia's political and economic history, Daniel Yergin and Thane Gustafson have produced a study that is already shaping the investment strategies of major corporations and that will become an essential text in the policy debates about the next century. Russia 2010 captures in a timely way the changes shaking Russia and the former Soviet Union after Communism. The result is one of those rare books that not only predict the future but have the power to change it. Publishers Weekly In a bold report, Pulitzer Prize-winning historian Yergin ( The Prize ) and Gustafson, a Georgetown University professor of government, outline several potential scenarios for the future of Russia. The most optimistic one, `` Chudo '' (Russian for miracle ), predicts an economic renaissance based on vastly improved efficiency, capital investment to rebuid the social and physical infrastructure and production of new types of goods. More pessimistic scenarios range from a ``Red-Brown'' coalition of communists and fascists, to a noncommunist but conservative technocracy, to the dissolution of Russia itself as the Russian Far East and Siberia are drawn into the orbits of China and Japan. The authors believe that regardless of which scenario occurs, some form of capitalism will evolve by the year 2010. (Nov.)
Preface by Joseph Stanislaw The World Behind the MirrorPart One The New Russian RevolutionPart Two The Battle for Power The Big Engine that Couldn't The Implosion of Empire Players and Prime Movers That the Guard Not Tire The Rough Road to the MarketPart Three Muddling Down Two-Headed Eagle The Time of Troubles: Chaos and Reaction The Long Good-bye The Russian BearPart Four Capitalism Russian-Style: 2010 and Beyond Chudo at Work—The New Russian Entrepreneurs: “Evident but Unbelievable”SurprisesPart Five The Return of a Great Power with Angela Stent Who Pays for the Plowshares? Foreign Investors and the New Capitalists Russia and the WestAppendix: Newly Independent States of the Former Soviet Union
