War and Punishment: The Causes of War Termination and the First World War

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Author: H. E. Goemans

ISBN-10: 0691049440

ISBN-13: 9780691049441

Category: World War I

What makes wars drag on and why do they end when they do? Here H. E. Goemans brings theoretical rigor and empirical depth to a long-standing question of securities studies. He explores how various government leaders assess the cost of war in terms of domestic politics and their own postwar fates. Goemans first develops the argument that two sides will wage war until both gain sufficient knowledge of the other's strengths and weaknesses so as to agree on the probable outcome of continued war....

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"War and Punishmentis a refreshing combination of rigorous reasoning and elegant historical analysis on one of the most important, and least understood, aspects of war: what causes wars to end. Anyone interested in the interplay between leadership, domestic politics, and international conflict must read this book. It is a superb and enlightening analysis."--Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University"A fresh and thought-provoking analysis of why the First World War lasted so long and of what caused it to end. Goemans bridges the gap between international history and security studies, offering challenging conclusions for experts in both disciplines. His book deserves a wide readership."--David Stevenson, Professor of International History, London School of Economics and Political Science"This may very well be the best book written in the last twenty years by a political scientist on war termination, war aims, and World War I. Goemans presents a formidable challenge to the way that we think about the prosecution of war, war duration, and the links between these and regime type. Not only does the book contain tremendously valuable theoretical insights, but it also provides compelling empirical evidence."--Allan C. Stam, Yale University Choice Goemans makes a significant addition to our understanding of war termination. In addition, the book is so well written that it is a valuable source for readers at all levels.

List of Tables and Figures vii Acknowlegments ix Chapter One: Introduction 3 Chapter Two: A Theory of War Termination 19 Chapter Three: Large N: The Fate of Leaders and the Diration of War 53 Chapter Four: Germany 72 Chapter Five: Russia 122 Chapter Six: France 134 Chapter Seven: Great Britain 181 Chapter Eight: The Termination of the First World War, I: 1914-1917 232 Chapter Nine: The Termination of the First World War, II: 1918 270 Chapter Ten: Conclusion 310 Bibliography 325 Index 351

\ ChoiceGoemans makes a significant addition to our understanding of war termination. In addition, the book is so well written that it is a valuable source for readers at all levels.\ \ \ \ \ International History ReviewOne can disagree with particular interpretations of Goemans, or even question his overall thesis, but it is a thesis that must be taken seriously. Goemans is to be congratulated for producing a book of value to scholars and to policy-makers, given the obvious implications of his findings for strategy.\ — Richard Ned Lebow\ \ \ The HistorianThe greatest strength of this book is that it is eminently thought-provoking, and that is praise not lightly given.\ — Ralph Ashby\ \ \ \ \ International History Review\ - Richard Ned Lebow\ One can disagree with particular interpretations of Goemans, or even question his overall thesis, but it is a thesis that must be taken seriously. Goemans is to be congratulated for producing a book of value to scholars and to policy-makers, given the obvious implications of his findings for strategy.\ \ \ \ \ The Historian\ - Ralph Ashby\ The greatest strength of this book is that it is eminently thought-provoking, and that is praise not lightly given.\ \